THE READ The red-flag scanner came back clean this year; share count rose 15% over the past year.
We read every document this company filed with the SEC this year and counted the classic danger phrases. Where wording can be misleading, we open the actual documents and separate real warnings from accounting boilerplate. Each hit links to the exact document.
An ATM lets the company print and sell new shares into the market any day it wants. Every print dilutes your slice.
A reverse split shrinks the share count to lift the price above $1. Repeat reverse splits are the classic death-spiral signature.
EVIDENCE: [1] 8-K FILED 2026-05-13 · [2] 8-K FILED 2026-05-13
Auditors flagged substantial doubt the company survives the next 12 months without new money.
The exchange has threatened to kick the stock off. Delisting pressure usually ends in a reverse split or a fire-sale raise.
SOURCE: FULL-TEXT SEARCH OF THE COMPANY'S OFFICIAL SEC FILINGS. "REAL WARNINGS" = WE OPENED THE LINKED DOCUMENTS AND FILTERED PHRASES WRAPPED IN NEGATIONS, RESOLUTION LANGUAGE OR STANDARD CONTRACT TERMS. "AT LEAST" = MORE DOCUMENTS CARRY THE PHRASE THIS YEAR THAN WE COULD OPEN AND READ.
How many shares exist, over time, exactly as the company reported in its own filings. In microcaps, a rising share count is how holders pay for everything: salaries, debts, and bad deals. Sudden collapses in the line are reverse splits, marked below.
SOURCE: THE COMPANY'S OWN REPORTED SHARE COUNTS ACROSS 61 FILINGS, STRAIGHT FROM SEC RECORDS
CHECKING OFFICIAL SPLIT RECORDS…
Type how many shares you hold. The math is plain division on the company's own reported counts.
Cash in the bank against how fast the company burns it. When this hits zero, the next stop is usually a desperate raise at bad terms, and existing holders pay through dilution.
RUNWAY = CASH ON HAND ÷ MONTHLY CASH BURN. SIMPLE ARITHMETIC ON THE COMPANY'S OWN REPORTED NUMBERS, NOT A PROJECTION.
The latest filings, translated into holder impact. Every number cites its form, date and SEC link.
Shares outstanding fell 145.06M to 144.51M (-0.4%) between 10-Q 2026-05-01 and 10-Q 2026-07-31.
NOW: 144,513,789 as of 2026-07-31 (10-Q, filed 2026-08-05)
WAS: 145,064,209 as of 2026-05-01 (10-Q, filed 2026-05-06)
Cash and equivalents rose $513.80M to $833.46M ($319.65M, +62.2%) between 10-Q 2018-09-30 and 10-K 2018-12-31.
NOW: $833.46M as of 2018-12-31 (10-K, filed 2019-02-27)
WAS: $513.80M as of 2018-09-30 (10-Q, filed 2018-11-07)
Total assets rose to $24.78B (from $24.69B, +0.3%) between 10-Q 2026-03-31 and 10-Q 2026-06-30.
NOW: $24.78B as of 2026-06-30 (10-Q, filed 2026-08-05)
WAS: $24.69B as of 2026-03-31 (10-Q, filed 2026-05-06)
Total liabilities rose to $21.29B (from $21.26B, +0.2%) between 10-Q 2026-03-31 and 10-Q 2026-06-30.
NOW: $21.29B as of 2026-06-30 (10-Q, filed 2026-08-05)
WAS: $21.26B as of 2026-03-31 (10-Q, filed 2026-05-06)
Revenue: nothing to compare. This company's filings do not publish us-gaap:Revenues, so no honest change can be computed.
Operating cash flow was positive ($184.86M) over the period ended 2026-06-30; no cash deficit to burn.
NOW: $184.86M as of 2026-06-30 (10-Q, filed 2026-08-05)
When something material happens, the company itself must announce it in an 8-K under the SEC's numbered item system. These are those announcements, newest first: bankruptcy papers, exchange delisting warnings, auditor changes, financials pulled back. Read straight from the SEC filing index, no interpretation layer.
SOURCE: THE ITEM NUMBERS THE COMPANY ITSELF PUT ON EACH 8-K IN THE SEC'S FILING INDEX. HOVER A STAMP FOR WHAT THAT ITEM MEANS FOR YOUR SHARES. OFFICIAL NOTICES INSIDE THE LAST 12 MONTHS ALSO FEED THE RISK INDEX ABOVE (CAPPED AT 15 POINTS).
An 8-K is the "something happened right now" filing. Here is what this one says, in the company's own words.
In this Current Report on Form 8-K, unless the context suggests otherwise, the term “Company” refers to Simmons First National Corporation and, where applicable, its direct and indirect subsidiaries, including Simmons Bank. On September 1, 2026, the Company decided to close 26 Simmons Bank branches across its six-state footprint (“Branch Closures”). The Company’s decision was made as part of a broader review of the Company’s retail network strategy, and the Branch Closures are intended to align Simmons Bank’s branch network with evolving customer preferences while maintaining customer access,...
During the Company’s July 16, 2026, earnings conference call, management discussed the Company’s focused efforts to improve operating performance and fund ongoing growth investments. During that call, management noted that, while the Company has realized meaningful expense discipline through a series of tactical actions over the past several years, it believes significant untapped potential remains. Management further indicated that the Company’s focus has increasingly shifted toward strategic initiatives designed to structurally transform the operating model by simplifying the organizational...
A rules-based reading of the cited filing facts: a range with reasons, never a prediction.
HOW THE BRACKET IS BUILT: BOOK EQUITY OF $24.09/SHARE AT 0.7-1.5X · CASH FLOOR: $5.77/SHARE IN A WIND-DOWN.
Share count is stable-ish (-0.4% change between the last two reported quarters).
Fair-value range anchored to cited facts: $16.87 to $36.14 per share.
The filings do not report usable cash and operating-burn figures, so runway could not be computed for this verdict.
The filings do not publish comparable revenue figures for two consecutive periods, so the revenue trend could not be measured.
METHOD: DETERMINISTIC RULES OVER CITED SEC FILING FACTS: SHARE-COUNT CHANGE BETWEEN THE LAST TWO REPORTED QUARTERS (DILUTION), CASH-TO-BURN RUNWAY FROM THE MOST RECENT OPERATING CASH FLOW, PERIOD-OVER-PERIOD REVENUE GROWTH, AND A FAIR-VALUE RANGE ANCHORED TO CASH PER SHARE VS PRICE. THRESHOLDS ARE TUNABLE IN APP/VERDICT_ENGINE.PY. NOT A PREDICTION.
Every time an officer, director or big owner trades shares, the law makes them file a Form 4 within two business days. We read the actual filings: who traded, what kind of trade, how big, at what price.
NO OPEN-MARKET BUYS OR SELLS: JUST COMPENSATION PAPER. WATCH WHETHER THE GRANTS TURN INTO SALES ONCE THEY VEST. "10B5-1 PLAN" MEANS THE TRADE WAS SCHEDULED UNDER A PRE-SET TRADING PLAN, DISCLOSED IN THE FILING'S OWN FOOTNOTES: PRE-PLANNED SALES CARRY LESS SIGNAL THAN SPUR-OF-THE-MOMENT ONES. SOURCE: FORM 4 FILINGS, PARSED FROM THE SEC'S OWN XML, LAST 10 FILINGS.
The company's most recent SEC paperwork, newest first.
SOURCE: THE COMPANY'S SEC FILING INDEX
Public records that most investors never check, cross-checked against what the company claims. This is where shells slip up.
SOURCES: PUBLIC DOMAIN REGISTRATION RECORDS (FOUND IN THE COMPANY'S OWN FILING SIGNATURES) · THE COMPANY'S SEC FILING INDEX · OFFICIAL US SANCTIONS LIST · QUARTERLY 13F FILINGS VIA EDGAR FULL-TEXT SEARCH · LEGAL-IDENTITY, SITE-HISTORY, CERTIFICATE, REGISTRANT-HISTORY AND DNS SLOTS STREAM IN FROM FREE PUBLIC REGISTRIES WITHOUT BLOCKING THIS PAGE.
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SOURCE: THE COMPANY'S SEC FILING INDEX
One Telegram message per material filing: dilution, going concern, delisting, insider dumps. No account, no email. Every line cites its SEC source. Leave anytime with /unwatch.
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