THE READ The red-flag scanner came back clean this year; share count jumped 2691% in a year (holders are being diluted fast).
We read every document this company filed with the SEC this year and counted the classic danger phrases. Where wording can be misleading, we open the actual documents and separate real warnings from accounting boilerplate. Each hit links to the exact document.
An ATM lets the company print and sell new shares into the market any day it wants. Every print dilutes your slice.
A reverse split shrinks the share count to lift the price above $1. Repeat reverse splits are the classic death-spiral signature.
Auditors flagged substantial doubt the company survives the next 12 months without new money.
The exchange has threatened to kick the stock off. Delisting pressure usually ends in a reverse split or a fire-sale raise.
SOURCE: FULL-TEXT SEARCH OF THE COMPANY'S OFFICIAL SEC FILINGS. "REAL WARNINGS" = WE OPENED THE LINKED DOCUMENTS AND FILTERED PHRASES WRAPPED IN NEGATIONS, RESOLUTION LANGUAGE OR STANDARD CONTRACT TERMS. "AT LEAST" = MORE DOCUMENTS CARRY THE PHRASE THIS YEAR THAN WE COULD OPEN AND READ.
How many shares exist, over time, exactly as the company reported in its own filings. In microcaps, a rising share count is how holders pay for everything: salaries, debts, and bad deals. Sudden collapses in the line are reverse splits, marked below.
SOURCE: THE COMPANY'S OWN REPORTED SHARE COUNTS ACROSS 12 FILINGS, STRAIGHT FROM SEC RECORDS
CHECKING OFFICIAL SPLIT RECORDS…
Type how many shares you hold. The math is plain division on the company's own reported counts.
Cash in the bank against how fast the company burns it. When this hits zero, the next stop is usually a desperate raise at bad terms, and existing holders pay through dilution.
RUNWAY = CASH ON HAND ÷ MONTHLY CASH BURN. SIMPLE ARITHMETIC ON THE COMPANY'S OWN REPORTED NUMBERS, NOT A PROJECTION.
The latest filings, translated into holder impact. Every number cites its form, date and SEC link.
Shares outstanding rose 30.90M to 53.63M (+73.6%) between 10-Q 2026-05-08 and 10-Q 2026-08-03 (dilution).
NOW: 53,633,248 as of 2026-08-03 (10-Q, filed 2026-08-14)
WAS: 30,903,163 as of 2026-05-08 (10-Q, filed 2026-05-15)
Cash and equivalents held flat at $0 to $0 ($0, +0.0%) between 10-Q 2026-03-31 and 10-Q 2026-06-30.
NOW: $0 as of 2026-06-30 (10-Q, filed 2026-08-14)
WAS: $0 as of 2026-03-31 (10-Q, filed 2026-05-15)
Total assets rose to $13.54M (from $7.91M, +71.2%) between 10-Q 2026-03-31 and 10-Q 2026-06-30.
NOW: $13.54M as of 2026-06-30 (10-Q, filed 2026-08-14)
WAS: $7.91M as of 2026-03-31 (10-Q, filed 2026-05-15)
Total liabilities rose to $10.07M (from $8.35M, +20.6%) between 10-Q 2026-03-31 and 10-Q 2026-06-30.
NOW: $10.07M as of 2026-06-30 (10-Q, filed 2026-08-14)
WAS: $8.35M as of 2026-03-31 (10-Q, filed 2026-05-15)
Revenue held flat at $0 to $152K (+0.0%) between the period ended 2023-03-31 and the period ended 2026-06-30 (10-Q).
NOW: $152K as of 2026-06-30 (10-Q, filed 2026-08-14)
WAS: $0 as of 2023-03-31 (10-Q, filed 2023-05-10)
Operating cash flow was $-2.85M over the period ended 2026-06-30 (~$483K/month burn). Cash for runway is not published in the facts, so runway is n/a.
NOW: $-2.85M as of 2026-06-30 (10-Q, filed 2026-08-14)
When something material happens, the company itself must announce it in an 8-K under the SEC's numbered item system. These are those announcements, newest first: bankruptcy papers, exchange delisting warnings, auditor changes, financials pulled back. Read straight from the SEC filing index, no interpretation layer.
SOURCE: THE ITEM NUMBERS THE COMPANY ITSELF PUT ON EACH 8-K IN THE SEC'S FILING INDEX. HOVER A STAMP FOR WHAT THAT ITEM MEANS FOR YOUR SHARES. OFFICIAL NOTICES INSIDE THE LAST 12 MONTHS ALSO FEED THE RISK INDEX ABOVE (CAPPED AT 15 POINTS).
EACH BAR IS ONE REPORTED QUARTER. GREEN = MOST RECENT QUARTER GREW VS THE ONE BEFORE.
An 8-K is the "something happened right now" filing. Here is what this one says, in the company's own words.
Sixth Amendment to the Aircraft Management Services Agreement As previously disclosed, on September 2, 2024, Volato Group, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), entered into an Aircraft Management Services Agreement (as subsequently amended, the “Agreement”) with flyExclusive, Inc. (“flyExclusive”), pursuant to which the Company engaged flyExclusive to provide certain aircraft management services and agreed that flyExclusive would be the exclusive provider of such services to the Company. In addition, flyExclusive agreed to use commercially reasonable efforts to include designated airc...
A rules-based reading of the cited filing facts: a range with reasons, never a prediction.
HOW THE BRACKET IS BUILT: TRAILING EARNINGS OF $0.1130/SHARE AT 10.0-18.0X · BOOK EQUITY OF $0.2750/SHARE AS A SUPPORT LEVEL.
Shares outstanding grew 73.6% between the last two reported quarters, a heavy dilution event.
Fair-value range anchored to cited facts: $0.0100 to $2.03 per share.
The filings do not report usable cash and operating-burn figures, so runway could not be computed for this verdict.
The filings do not publish comparable revenue figures for two consecutive periods, so the revenue trend could not be measured.
METHOD: DETERMINISTIC RULES OVER CITED SEC FILING FACTS: SHARE-COUNT CHANGE BETWEEN THE LAST TWO REPORTED QUARTERS (DILUTION), CASH-TO-BURN RUNWAY FROM THE MOST RECENT OPERATING CASH FLOW, PERIOD-OVER-PERIOD REVENUE GROWTH, AND A FAIR-VALUE RANGE ANCHORED TO CASH PER SHARE VS PRICE. THRESHOLDS ARE TUNABLE IN APP/VERDICT_ENGINE.PY. NOT A PREDICTION.
Every time an officer, director or big owner trades shares, the law makes them file a Form 4 within two business days. We read the actual filings: who traded, what kind of trade, how big, at what price.
NO OPEN-MARKET BUYS OR SELLS: JUST COMPENSATION PAPER. WATCH WHETHER THE GRANTS TURN INTO SALES ONCE THEY VEST. "10B5-1 PLAN" MEANS THE TRADE WAS SCHEDULED UNDER A PRE-SET TRADING PLAN, DISCLOSED IN THE FILING'S OWN FOOTNOTES: PRE-PLANNED SALES CARRY LESS SIGNAL THAN SPUR-OF-THE-MOMENT ONES. SOURCE: FORM 4 FILINGS, PARSED FROM THE SEC'S OWN XML, LAST 1 FILINGS.
The company's most recent SEC paperwork, newest first.
SOURCE: THE COMPANY'S SEC FILING INDEX
Public records that most investors never check, cross-checked against what the company claims. This is where shells slip up.
SOURCES: PUBLIC DOMAIN REGISTRATION RECORDS (FOUND IN THE COMPANY'S OWN FILING SIGNATURES) · THE COMPANY'S SEC FILING INDEX · OFFICIAL US SANCTIONS LIST · QUARTERLY 13F FILINGS VIA EDGAR FULL-TEXT SEARCH · LEGAL-IDENTITY, SITE-HISTORY, CERTIFICATE, REGISTRANT-HISTORY AND DNS SLOTS STREAM IN FROM FREE PUBLIC REGISTRIES WITHOUT BLOCKING THIS PAGE.
Real visitors who opened this case file also checked these tickers. Derived only from on-site search and watchlist activity of the last 90 days: no tracking, no cookies.
SOURCE: THE COMPANY'S SEC FILING INDEX
One Telegram message per material filing: dilution, going concern, delisting, insider dumps. No account, no email. Every line cites its SEC source. Leave anytime with /unwatch.
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